by Luc Levesque
A hiring heuristic that predicts future performance based on past outlier achievements. It looks for evidence of repeated success in diverse areas (work, sports, hobbies) and specific social signals like former bosses attempting to re-hire the candidate.
Core Principles
- 1.Seek 3 Signs of Excellence: Look for repeated wins, awards, or exceptional grit in any domain (e.g., Olympic medals, successful exits).
- 2.The Poaching Signal: Verify if a former manager left a company and immediately tried to poach the candidate (strongest signal of value).
- 3.Involve the Spouse/Family: For senior hires, engage the family to align personal and professional incentives early.
"The best predictor of future performance is past performance. I'm looking for signs of excellence... repeated success, not just once."