by Benjamin Mann
A strategic approach to product development in rapidly accelerating fields. Instead of building for current model capabilities, teams should analyze exponential scaling laws to predict future capabilities (6-12 months out) and build products that rely on those future states, even if current success rates are low.
Core Principles
- 1.Internalize the exponential curve; progress looks flat until the knee of the curve.
- 2.Don't build for today's model limitations.
- 3.Identify capabilities working 20% of the time today; assume they will work 100% of the time soon.
- +1 more...
"Don't build for today, build for six months from now... things that aren't quite working that are working 20% of the time, will start working 100% of the time."